2026-06-25

GT Axis Daily, June 25, 2026

Here's what nobody's saying out loud today: Micron just printed a quarter that breaks what a memory company is even supposed to be. Forty-one and a half billion in revenue, up 346% from a year ago, gross margins near 85%, and a forecast for fifty billion next quarter, from a business that two years ago was the textbook definition of boom-and-bust. The stock jumped almost 9% and dragged every other memory maker up with it. On the very same day, OpenAI stopped renting its brains and started building them, unveiling its first custom chip with Broadcom, designed in nine months, aimed squarely at needing less Nvidia. Put those two together and you get the whole thesis I keep hammering: the durable money sits in the scarce inputs and the parts of the stack you own outright, not the layer you rent from somebody else. Micron owns the memory nobody can make fast enough. OpenAI just decided it would rather own its silicon than keep paying the toll forever. The leaders winning this cycle are the ones who looked at the bottleneck and said, that should be mine.

One trend to watch: memory and inference silicon are the two chokepoints of the whole AI economy right now, and the smart money is paying almost any price to control them while the flashy app-layer names trade sideways.

  • Micron broke the chip playbook. $41.5B in revenue, roughly 85% margins, $50B guided for next quarter. Memory stopped being a commodity and became a toll booth, and the stock ripped about 9%.
  • OpenAI is building its own chip. Its first custom silicon with Broadcom, designed in nine months, built to lean less on Nvidia. Owning the stack beats renting it.
  • Memory moved as one pack. SK Hynix up 11%, Samsung up 5%, Micron up 9%, all on the same blowout read. When a whole group runs together, the market is naming the real bottleneck.
  • Quantum took a breather. The lottery-ticket names fell in lockstep even as Duke and IonQ hit a genuine networking milestone. Mood, not milestones, still runs those stocks.
  • Bottom line: Look at the bottleneck and decide it should be yours.

AI Models & Releases

Anthropic says Alibaba tried to copy its AI on the sly.

Anthropic, the maker of Claude, publicly accused Chinese giant Alibaba of running thousands of fraudulent accounts to pull off "distillation," which is using one company's finished AI to train your own cheaper knockoff, like photographing every page of a textbook instead of writing one. Why it matters: distillation is the quiet threat to every frontier lab's moat, because the expensive part is building the first great model and the cheap part is imitating it. This is one of the first times a top US lab has named a Chinese rival and called it theft outright, and it lands just as Washington tightens the rules on who can touch the best models.

Market signal, Alibaba (BABA): $95.95, down 3.86% today and down about 37% over six months. Anthropic is private, so the clean read is Alibaba, which slid on the accusation. Short term it's a headline-driven dip on an already beaten-down stock. Long term, if "distillation" turns into a real legal and trade fight, it raises the cost of competing with a copied model and quietly protects the labs that build their own from scratch.
Read the source: CNBC

Software & Developer Tools

Anthropic put Claude inside Slack as a teammate, not a pop-up.

The new "Claude Tag" lets anyone in a Slack channel type @Claude to hand it a task, and one shared Claude works out in the open where the whole team can see what it is doing and pick up where a colleague left off. It holds context across the channel, can plug into a team's tools, data, and code, and replaces Anthropic's older one-off Claude in Slack app. Why it matters: most AI assistants are one-person, one-window tools. Dropping a single shared assistant into the place teams already talk turns it from a personal gadget into shared infrastructure, and shared infrastructure is a lot harder to rip out. It runs on Claude Opus 4.8 and is in beta for Enterprise and Team customers.

Market signal, Anthropic is private. The cleanest listed read is Salesforce (CRM): $152.34, roughly flat today but down about 43% over six months, since Salesforce owns Slack. Microsoft, an Anthropic backer, is the other quiet beneficiary. The irony worth noting: Salesforce has been punished all year on fears that AI eats software-as-a-service, and now the most capable assistant in the market is moving into its own product. Long term, embedded assistants like this could be what keeps people inside Slack rather than the thing that empties it.
Read the source: TechCrunch

Emerging Tech (Quantum, Chips, Robotics)

🌡️ Sector Mood: Quantum, Risk-Off. Every quantum pure-play sold off together today, IonQ down 4.6%, Rigetti down 3.5%, D-Wave down 2.9%, Quantum Computing Inc down 2.6%, even though the sector just cleared a real technical milestone. That gap is the whole tell: these names still trade on mood, not progress. When a group drops in lockstep on a day with good underlying news, that's sentiment cooling, not the science breaking.

OpenAI is building its own chip so it leans less on Nvidia.

The ChatGPT maker, working with Broadcom, unveiled its first custom processor, called Jalapeño, built specifically for "inference," the run-the-model-for-users step that eats most of an AI company's compute bill. They took it from blank page to factory-ready in nine months, which they call the fastest chip development ever, and used OpenAI's own models to speed up the design work. Why it matters: every big AI player is trying to escape Nvidia's premium, and a purpose-built chip that does more work per watt of power is how they claw back margin. First chips are due to go live by the end of 2026.

Market signal, Broadcom (AVGO): $375.69, down 1.67% today, up about 7% over six months. Broadcom is the quiet winner here, since it manufactures these custom chips for the whole industry no matter whose logo is on them. Nvidia (NVDA): $194.51, down 2.26% today, as the market weighs one more giant customer designing around it. Both dipped on a risk-off tape. Long term, custom inference silicon is a real chip at Nvidia's grip on the market, and Broadcom gets paid either way.
Read the source: OpenAI

Quantum computing just cleared a bottleneck to building bigger machines.

Researchers at Duke and IonQ linked three separate quantum modules into one entangled system, the first time three remote "nodes" have been wired together this way. In plain terms, today's quantum computers hit a ceiling on how many qubits fit in a single box, and networking several boxes into one machine is how the field gets past that, the same way data centers stitch thousands of servers into one. They hit it at 84 to 88% fidelity, meaning accuracy, without the shortcuts that usually inflate these results. Why it matters: it nudges "modular" quantum from theory toward a real path to scale.

Market signal, IonQ (IONQ): $51.14, down 4.59% today and up about 11% over six months. Classic quantum whiplash, real progress and the stock falls anyway, because these names move on sentiment more than milestones. Networking qubits is a multi-year build, not a this-quarter catalyst, so expect the ride to stay bumpy.
Read the source: Quantum Computing Report

AI Infrastructure & Money

🌡️ Sector Mood: Memory, Roaring (in lockstep). Micron's blowout pulled the entire memory group up together, Micron up about 9% on the day, South Korea's SK Hynix up 11%, Samsung up 5%, all reacting to the same number. High-bandwidth memory, the fast memory stacked right next to an AI chip, is sold out across the industry, and Micron just guided to even fatter margins next quarter. When a whole group runs this hard on one company's results, the market is telling you memory is the input everyone needs and nobody has enough of.

Micron just posted the most lopsided quarter in memory history.

The company reported $41.5 billion in revenue for its May quarter, up 346% from a year ago, with gross margin of 84.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 85 cents of every sales dollar before operating costs, a level chipmakers almost never touch. It guided next quarter to $50 billion and about 86% margins, and called out HBM4, its newest high-bandwidth memory, already shipping in volume to its lead customer. Why it matters: memory used to swing from glut to shortage every couple of years, and Micron just signed multi-year "Strategic Customer Agreements" that lock in demand, turning the most cyclical corner of chips into something that reads like a subscription.

Market signal, Micron (MU): $1,141.35, up 8.85% today, up about 27% in a month and roughly 301% over six months. The stock has already quadrupled in six months, so a 9% pop on a quarter this good shows you how high the bar now sits. Short term it trades on whether the memory shortage holds into 2027. Long term, those locked-in multi-year contracts are exactly the predictable revenue that turns a commodity into a toll booth, and Micron just proved it can charge like one.
Read the source: Micron

Market signals reflect the stated close date, informed perspective, not investment advice. GT Axis isn't a financial advisor, do your own homework before making any moves.

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